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5.
Process Improvement
5.1. Introduction
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| Experimental
Design (or DOE) economically maximizes information
Schematic for a typical process with controlled inputs, outputs,
discrete uncontrolled factors and continuous uncontrolled factors
Models for DOE's
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In an experiment, we deliberately change one or more process
variables (or factors) in order to observe the effect the changes have
on one or more response variables. The (statistical) design of experiments
(DOE) is an efficient procedure for planning experiments so that
the data obtained can be analyzed to yield valid and objective conclusions.
DOE begins with determining the objectives of an experiment and selecting the process factors for the study. An Experimental Design is the laying out of a detailed experimental plan in advance of doing the experiment. Well chosen experimental designs maximize the amount of "information" that can be obtained for a given amount of experimental effort. The statistical theory underlying DOE generally begins with the concept of process models. It is common to begin with a process model of the ‘black box’ type, with several discrete or continuous input factors which can be controlled—that is, varied at will by the experimenter—and one or more measured output responses. The output responses are assumed continuous. Experimental data are used to derive an empirical (approximation) model linking the outputs and inputs. These empirical models are generally simple polynomials. Often, the experiment has to account for a number of uncontrolled factors
which may be either discrete, such as different machines or operators,
as well as uncontrolled factors which are of the continuous type such as
ambient temperature or humidity. Figure 1.1 illustrates this situation.
The most common empirical models fit to the experimental data take either linear form or quadratic form. A linear model with two factors, X1 and X2, is written as Here, Y is the response for given levels of the main effects X1 and X2 and the X1X2 term is included to account for a possible interaction effect between X1 and X2. The constant b0 is the response of Y when both main effects are 0. For a more complicated example, a linear model with three factors X1, X2, X3 and one response, Y, would look like The three terms with single "X's" are the main effects terms. There are k(k-1)/2 = 3*2/2 = 3 two-way interaction terms and 1 three-way interaction term (which is often omitted, for simplicity). When the experimental data are analyzed, all the unknown "b" parameters are estimated and the coefficients of the "X" terms are tested to see which ones are significantly different from 0. A second order (quadratic) model (typically used to fit response surface DOE's with suspected curvature) drops the three-way interaction term but adds three more terms to the linear model, namely b11X12 + b22X22 +b33X32.Note: Clearly, a full model could include many cross product (or interaction) terms involving squared X's. However, in general these terms are not needed and most DOE software defaults with leaving them out of the model. |
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